By Nigel Green The single greatest danger to wealth anywhere in the world right now is the colossal pile of money governments have borrowed. Bond markets are flashing warnings last seen during the eurozone crisis, and they’re getting louder by the week. The IMF’s own figures are staggering. Global public debt reached 93.9% of GDP last year and is on course for 100% by 2029, beyond anything […]
We’re heading into earnings season again in Corporate America, and S&P 500 earnings are forecast to climb 27% in the third quarter, and for the first time since 2021, every single sector is expected to grow its profits. For two years sceptics have argued the AI boom is a narrow bet on a handful of technology companies. These numbers point to an investment wave now feeding profits […]
President Trump says the White House is considering a ban on US diesel exports “very seriously”. This is a huge threat, but behind the threat sits a problem no export ban can solve: the world can’t refine enough fuel. A barrel of crude does nothing for a truck or a cargo ship until a refinery has processed it. Oil in the ground or on a tanker counts […]
Global investors go into Thursday’s talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping with one overriding demand. They want predictability, and they want it with a long runway attached. Markets have already placed a bet on a calm outcome. Wall Street’s benchmark index climbed 1.5% this week to post its best session since early August, while the main US tech index notched its first record close since June. […]
Foreign capital has just delivered its verdict on the United States, and the verdict is not what Washington wants to hear. A record $600 billion flowed into US equities over the past year, outpacing foreign purchases of Treasuries for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. For decades, buying America meant buying its government debt alongside its companies as though they were one investment. This assumption […]
Pessimism sells. It always has. But investors who let fear set their strategy this year are, I believe, about to miss one of the more compelling setups markets have offered in some time. Eveywhere I look, the mood among investors feels heavier than the numbers actually justify. There is talk of central bank brinkmanship, and a market supposedly one bad news day away from falling apart, among […]
Arabian Post Staff Independent financial advisory firm deVere Group has built and launched live pricing and analysis pages across all four markets, designed for investors managing money across borders and currencies rather than sitting inside a single market. “We built these pages because our investors are living across dozens of countries, and they were checking four different markets through four different sources just to get a full […]
When a government has to step into the market and start buying back its own debt, it is not a display of strength. It’s an admission. Scott Bessent’s US Treasury doubled the size of its bond buyback programme this week. Reports now suggest officials are considering drawing close to $1 trillion from the Treasury General Account to help fund it. Washington will call this prudent debt management. […]
July’s US inflation report gave markets precisely for what they were braced. Headline CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year, core CPI came in at 2.5%, both a tenth of a point softer than June, both landing squarely on consensus. Stocks will likely take this as vindication, but I believe that investors should read it more carefully. An in-line print sounds reassuring by definition. It confirms the disinflation trend everyone […]
A tentative deal between Iran and Oman on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is being treated in some quarters as the moment the year’s biggest energy risk finally eases. I believe that investors would be wise to treat it with considerably more caution than that. The scale of what is at stake in this waterway is hard to overstate. In a normal year, roughly 20 million […]
SK Hynix just posted one of the best quarters in its history, and the market punished it anyway. Operating profit surged 557% year-on-year to 60.5 trillion won, a number that would have been unthinkable two years ago. Yet because it fell short of the 64 trillion won analysts expected, the stock fell as much as 20% in Seoul before closing down 9.6%, and its US-listed shares dropped […]
A single country raising tariffs dents that country’s exporters. Sixty countries absorbing new US duties on the same day is a different animal entirely, and currency and bond markets have far more reason to be nervous about it than most equity investors currently seem to grasp. The new rates land between 10% and 12.5%, and the split between those two bands is where this gets interesting. Japan […]
Markets rarely break for one reason. Right now there are four forces pulling at global equities simultaneously, and none of them has fully played out yet. Investors heading into next week need to understand all four, because treating any single one in isolation misses the bigger picture. Start with the rotation nobody predicted a month ago. Tech has stalled while old-economy value has caught a bid. The […]
Nigel Farage’s attempt to turn scrutiny of his financial affairs into a direct electoral test has produced an unusual contest, with satirical candidate Count Binface so far emerging as his only declared challenger in the Clacton by-election. The Reform UK leader resigned from the House of Commons on July 8 and immediately announced that he would seek re-election. Polling will take place on August 13 after parliamentary […]
President Trump’s declaration on Wednesday that the ceasefire with Iran is over immediately pushed oil prices higher, lifted Treasury yields and revived concerns about the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Markets responded in familiar fashion, with traders reassessing energy supplies, inflation expectations and monetary policy. Another consequence deserves equal attention. Higher oil prices strengthen the fiscal position of the Gulf’s major energy exporters. Over time, stronger […]
Investors heading into the second half of 2026 face an uncomfortable reality: the global economy is changing faster than many portfolios are adapting to it. The forces reshaping markets today are structural. AI is triggering one of the largest capital investment booms in modern history. Digital assets have crossed into mainstream finance. Meanwhile, geopolitical conflict, sovereign debt and valuation risk continue to create significant uncertainty. As the […]
Seven in 10 expatriates living in the UAE were found to have insufficient life insurance cover during comprehensive financial reviews conducted by deVere Acuma over the past 12 months, exposing a major financial protection gap among one of the world’s largest and most affluent expatriate populations. The findings emerged from financial planning assessments undertaken with prospective and newly onboarded clients across the UAE in the last year […]
Elon Musk’s personal fortune of $1.3 trillion exposes a flaw in one of investing’s most widely accepted ideas. The financial advice industry has for decades championed diversification as the answer to almost every investment challenge. Build a broad portfolio, spread risk, own the market and stay patient. Indeed, it’s sensible advice and, for many investors, entirely appropriate. Yet diversification has gradually evolved from a risk-management tool into […]
Investors have become so focused on AI software that many are overlooking the industries making the boom possible. I believe this could prove to be an expensive mistake. The dominant investment narrative has revolved around the companies building AI models, designing advanced chips and providing cloud-computing services. Investors have poured huge amounts of capital into firms such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta Platforms. Those businesses […]
Elon Musk will probably get the $86 billion he wants from the SpaceX IPO. The harder question is whether investors will still be as enthusiastic about the company a year from now. Seeking a valuation of $1.78 trillion, SpaceX is attempting something unprecedented. If successful, the offering will become the largest IPO in history and instantly rank among the biggest corporate fundraising events ever seen. Many investors […]
A record 142,000 millionaires are expected to relocate internationally this year alone — and most investors still do not fully understand what this means for markets. The movement of globally mobile wealth is rapidly becoming one of the defining investment forces of the decade. Capital is shifting across borders faster, more strategically and in greater volumes than at any point in modern financial history. I sincerely believe […]
Investors should be seeking advice on a possible US stock market correction as surging bond yields driven by the ongoing war in Iran pose a near-term risk to stock gains. Wall Street spent the past year treating artificial intelligence as a force powerful enough to overwhelm inflation, war, deficits and interest rates simultaneously. Markets rewarded that conviction spectacularly. Nvidia added more than $2tn in market value in […]
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has joined US President Donald Trump on Air Force One on his trip to China, after initial indications the executive had not been invited. Read that line again, because it tells you almost everything you need to know about modern markets. A generation ago, the most important seat on a presidential trip to Beijing might have gone to an oil chief, a banker, […]
A war that threatens the flow of one-fifth of the world’s oil supply should be dominating market pricing. It isn’t. President Donald Trump has pushed the US deeper into confrontation with Iran, locking policy into a narrow and dangerous path. The Strait of Hormuz remains under constant threat, energy flows are disrupted, and, as a result, oil has surged above $110 a barrel at points in recent […]
